Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.123580e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077
2025-03-09 2.296613e-05 0.000030 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000075 0.000092
2025-03-16 1.761802e-05 0.000026 0.000035 0.000048 0.000063 0.000082 0.000105
2025-03-23 1.400224e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000047 0.000066 0.000088 0.000117
2025-03-30 1.113888e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000129
2025-04-06 8.646028e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000045 0.000068 0.000097 0.000137
2025-04-13 6.379083e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000041 0.000066 0.000098 0.000142
2025-04-20 4.944929e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000040 0.000066 0.000101 0.000150
2025-04-27 4.067246e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000068 0.000106 0.000160
2025-05-04 3.411466e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000070 0.000112 0.000172
2025-05-11 3.180348e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000042 0.000075 0.000122 0.000190
2025-05-18 2.686601e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000043 0.000078 0.000128 0.000202
2025-05-25 1.846010e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000040 0.000076 0.000129 0.000209
2025-06-01 1.297439e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000076 0.000133 0.000219
2025-06-08 9.117144e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000077 0.000137 0.000230
2025-06-15 6.514922e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000037 0.000078 0.000142 0.000243
2025-06-22 4.432947e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000079 0.000147 0.000255
2025-06-29 2.696849e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000078 0.000149 0.000263
2025-07-06 1.335218e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000076 0.000148 0.000266
2025-07-13 6.945873e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000075 0.000150 0.000274
2025-07-20 4.032848e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000077 0.000155 0.000288
2025-07-27 2.337227e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000079 0.000162 0.000303
2025-08-03 1.949043e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000033 0.000085 0.000175 0.000327